Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.927774 2.216713 2.539138 2.926482 3.380350 3.896709 4.530644
2025-03-23 1.465143 1.840182 2.301557 2.914755 3.714128 4.728699 6.126385
2025-03-30 1.201882 1.599386 2.120939 2.862817 3.903034 5.327598 7.457150
2025-04-06 1.052775 1.468129 2.042471 2.906514 4.194046 6.074500 9.089953
2025-04-13 0.911156 1.320499 1.911622 2.843486 4.305224 6.560534 10.403214
2025-04-20 0.845866 1.270795 1.909938 2.963169 4.698435 7.521534 12.625464
2025-04-27 0.764140 1.183988 1.838026 2.958089 4.884522 8.168924 14.429883
2025-05-04 0.716510 1.143482 1.831429 3.054312 5.247735 9.163830 17.032978
2025-05-11 0.660233 1.081615 1.781218 3.067028 5.462287 9.921852 19.327447
2025-05-18 0.610987 1.025542 1.733285 3.075373 5.666318 10.686268 21.776777
2025-05-25 0.553196 0.948394 1.639746 2.987283 5.672180 11.062013 23.476657
2025-06-01 0.520998 0.912978 1.616287 3.027048 5.932691 11.988637 26.571787
2025-06-08 0.476201 0.855087 1.554413 3.003180 6.101167 12.840000 29.919130
2025-06-15 0.436366 0.803137 1.499826 2.991494 6.306715 13.844905 34.001408
2025-06-22 0.397248 0.747632 1.430754 2.938026 6.408801 14.631235 37.746872
2025-06-29 0.372936 0.718130 1.409425 2.982998 6.742880 16.042646 43.614758
2025-07-06 0.341058 0.669730 1.343252 2.918133 6.803840 16.784088 47.796153
2025-07-13 0.328964 0.660602 1.358370 3.041309 7.351180 18.919763 56.916826
2025-07-20 0.307509 0.629294 1.321618 3.036080 7.569009 20.208158 63.777468
2025-07-27 0.295869 0.617835 1.327350 3.135122 8.083153 22.465665 74.762354
2025-08-03 0.279151 0.593352 1.300508 3.148212 8.363760 24.099527 84.147662
2025-08-10 0.263629 0.569949 1.273456 3.156801 8.634134 25.771925 94.356431
2025-08-17 0.243466 0.533893 1.212328 3.066128 8.595766 26.442338 100.846123